ABIZ 7300 – Decision Making Under
Uncertainty (Winter 2012)
PUBLICATIONS IN
PEER-REVIEWED JOURNALS
Mattos, F.L. and P. Garcia. “Measuring
the Degree to Which Probability
Weighting Affects Risk-Taking Behavior
in Financial Decisions.” Journal of
Finance and Investment Analysis
(forthcoming).
Mattos, F.L., Garcia P., and Pennings
J.M.E. “Probability Weighting and Loss
Aversion in Futures Hedging.” Journal of
Financial Markets 11 (2008), 433-452.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia P., and Nelson
C.H. “Relaxing Standard Hedging
Assumptions in the Presence of Downside
Risk.” Quarterly Review of Economics and
Finance 48 (2008):78-93.
Mattos, F.L. and Garcia P. “Price
Discovery and Risk Transfer in Thinly
Traded Markets: Evidence from Brazilian
Agricultural Futures Markets.” Review of
Futures Markets 14 (2006):471-483.
Mattos, F.L. and Ferreira Filho,
J.B.S. “Utilização de
Contratos Futuros Agropecuários
em Carteiras de Investimento: Uma
Análise de Viabilidade.” Revista
de Economia e Sociologia Rural 41
(2003):9-30.
OTHER PUBLICATIONS
Mattos, F.L. and Garcia P.
"Psychological Dimensions in Financial
Decision Making Under Risk: Loss
Aversion and House-Money Effect Among
Professional Traders." In: Handbook on
Psychology of Decision-Making: New
Research. Karen O. Moore and Nancy P.
Gonzalez (Ed.). Nova Science Publishers,
forthcoming.
Mattos, F.L. and Garcia P.
“Applications of Behavioral Finance to
Entrepreneurs and Venture Capitalists:
Decision Making under Risk and
Uncertainty in Futures and Options
Markets.” In: Advances in
Entrepreneurial Finance. Rassoul
Yazdipou (Ed.). Springer, 2010.
Mattos, F.L. “Probability Weighting in
Futures Hedging.” In: Financial Hedging.
Patrick N. Catlere (Ed.). Nova Science
Publishers, 2009.
REFEREED CONFERENCE PRESENTATIONS
Mattos,
F.L.,
and Brewin, D. “Is It Price
Variability or Risk? Evaluating Risk
and Risk Management Strategies in
Agriculture Using Different Risk
Measures”. NCCC-134 Conference on
Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk
Management, St Louis, MO, April 2012.
Andrade,
E.,
and Mattos, F.L. “How Does ‘Cost Risk’
Influence Producers’ Decision to
Hedge?”. NCCC-134 Conference on
Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk
Management, St Louis, MO, April 2012.
Silva,
R., Christofoletti, M.A., and Mattos,
F.L. “The Increasing Participation of
China in the World Soybean Market and
Its Impact on Price Linkages in
Futures Markets”. NCCC-134 Conference
on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk
Management, St Louis, MO, April 2012.
Capitani, D.H.D, Mattos, F.L., and
Martines-Filho, J. "Risk measures and
the feasibility of a rice futures
contract in Brazil". Risk Management
Commodity Trading Conference, Sao Paulo,
Brazil, November 2011.
Mattos, F.L., and Fryza, S. "Do
Farmers Exhibit Disposition Effect?
Evidence from Grain Markets." Annual
Meeting of the Academy of Behavioral
Finance & Economics, Los Angeles,
CA, September 2011.
Mattos, F.L., and Fryza, S. "Do
Farmers Exhibit Disposition Effect?
Evidence from Grain Marketing." AAEA
& NAREA Joint Annual Meeting,
Pittsburgh, PA, July 2011.
Fryza, S., and Mattos, F.L. “Are
Canadian Farmers Overconfident?" AAEA
& NAREA Joint Annual Meeting,
Pittsburgh, PA, July 2011.
Mattos, F.L., and Fryza, S. “The
Marketing Performance of Canadian Wheat
Farmers.” CAES & WAEA Joint Annual
Meeting, Banff, AB, June 2011.
Mattos, F.L., and Garcia, P. “Changes
in Liquidity,Cash Market Activity, and
Futures Market Performance:Evidence from
Live Cattle Market in Brazil” NCCC-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price
Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk
Management, St Louis, MO, April 2011.
Fryza, S., and Mattos, F.L. “How Do
Canadian Wheat Producers’ Make Marketing
Decisions?.” NCCC-134 Conference on
Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management,
St Louis, MO, April 2011.
Mattos, F.L., and Fryza, S. “Decision
Making Process in Grain Marketing: A
Study in the Canadian Market”. Annual
Meeting of the Academy of Behavioral
Finance & Economics, Chicago, IL,
September 2010.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia, P., and Urso,
F.P. “Evolving Market Performance in
Brazilian Futures Contracts Using
Relative Efficiency.” AAEA, CAES, &
WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, Denver, CO,
July 2010.
Capitani, D.H.D, Regazzini, L.C., and
Mattos, F.L. “The Feasibility of a Rice
Futures Contract in Brazil.” Annual
Meeting of the Brazilian Society of
Agricultural Economics and Rural
Sociology, Campo Grande, MS, July 2010.
Fryza, S., and Mattos, F.L.
“Producers’ Decision Making in Grain
Marketing: A Study in the Canadian
Market.” NCCC-134 Conference on Applied
Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting,
and Market Risk Management, St Louis,
MO, April 2010.
Mattos, F.L., and Garcia, P. “The
Effect of Probability Weighting on
Financial Decisions.” Behavioral Finance
& Economics Research Symposium,
Chicago, IL, September 2009.
Mattos, F.L., and Garcia, P. “The
Effect of Prior Gains and Losses on
Current Risk-Taking Using Quantile
Regression.” NCCC-134 Conference on
Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management,
St Louis, MO, April 2009.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia, P., and
Pennings, J.M.E. “Insights into Trader
Behavior: Risk Aversion and Probability
Weighting.” NCCC-134 Conference on
Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management,
Chicago, IL, April 2007.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia, P., and
Pennings, J.M.E. “Probability distortion
and loss aversion in futures hedging.”
NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity
Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market
Risk Management, St Louis, MO, April
2006.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia, P., and Nelson,
C.H.” Relaxing standard hedging
assumptions in the presence of downside
risk.” NCR-134 Conference on Applied
Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting,
and Market Risk Management, St Louis,
MO, April 2005.
Mattos, F.L., and Garcia, P. “Price
discovery in thinly traded markets: cash
and futures relationships in Brazilian
agricultural futures markets.” NCR-134
Conference on Applied Commodity Price
Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk
Management, St Louis, MO, April 2004.
Mattos, F.L., Garcia, P., Leuthold,
R., and Hahn, T. “The feasibility of a
boxed beef futures contract: hedging
wholesale beef cuts.” NCR-134 Conference
on Applied Commodity Price Analysis,
Forecasting, and Market Risk Management,
St Louis, MO, April 2003.
Mattos, F.L. and Borguini, R.G.
“Analysis of organic food consumption in
Brazil.” XL Annual Meeting of the
Brazilian Society of Agricultural
Economics and Rural Sociology, Passo
Fundo, RS, July 2002.
Mattos, F.L. and Perobelli, F.S.
“Price index numbers in futures
markets.” XXXIX Annual Meeting of the
Brazilian Society of Agricultural
Economics and Rural Sociology, Recife,
PE, July 2001.
Mattos, F.L. and Ferreira Filho,
J.B.S. “The inclusion of agricultural
futures contracts in stock portfolios.”
:XXXVIII Annual Meeting of the Brazilian
Society of Agricultural Economics and
Rural Sociology, Rio de Janeiro, RJ,
July 2000.
Pizzol, S.J.S., Mattos, F.L., and
Martines Filho, J.G. “Portfolio theory
in the fruit market: an application in
the Vera Cruz area.” XXXVII Annual
Meeting of the Brazilian Society of
Agricultural Economics and Rural
Sociology, Foz do Iguaçu, PR,
July 1999.
INVITED PRESENTATIONS
"Decision Making Under Uncertainty".
Department of Economics, Administration
and Sociology, University of São
Paulo, August 2011.
“Behavioral Dimensions of Decision
Making in Grain Marketing”. CAES Risk
Management Workshop, University of
British Columbia, April 2010.
“Are Farmers Rational? An
Investigation on Risk-Taking Behaviour
in Agriculture”. Faculty of Agricultural
and Food Sciences Seminar Series,
University of Manitoba, February 2010.
“Risk and Uncertainty Research in
Applied Economics”. Department of
Economics, Administration and Sociology,
University of São Paulo, December
2009.
“Trading Behavior in Futures and
Options Markets”. Department of
Agribusiness and Agricultural Economics,
University of Manitoba, November 2009.
“The Effect of Prior Profits on
Current Risk-Taking”. Department of
Food, Agricultural and Resource
Economics, University of Guelph, October
2009.
PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS
Agricultural and Applied Economics
Association
Canadian Agricultural Economics
Society
American Economics Association
Academy of Behavioral Finance and
Economics
Department
of Agribusiness & Agricultural Economics
Faculty of Agricultural & Food Sciences
University of Manitoba - Winnipeg, MB, Canada -
R3T 2N2
Tel: (204) 474-9384 Fax: (204) 261-7521
Questions or comments? email
Agribusiness
&
Agricultural Economics